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Egypt and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) are on the brink of concluding evaluations for Egypt’s $3 billion loan program, with discussions signaling a significant boost in funding.

At the World Governments Summit in Dubai, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva disclosed progress in formulating a policy package aimed at economic reforms and addressing financial gaps. The precise increase in funding is yet to be finalized.

Originally, Egypt secured a $3 billion loan from the IMF, but only a fraction was disbursed. Reviews slated for 2023 were delayed due to stalled reforms, leading to a temporary suspension of the program.

The IMF’s conditions for further disbursements included reforms in exchange rate flexibility and progress in divestment programs. However, challenges emerged, particularly regarding valuation disputes amid currency depreciation in the parallel market.

Despite obstacles, expectations now lean towards a new loan package ranging from $6 billion to $10 billion, indicating a potential capital infusion into Egypt’s economy.

Recent discussions between Georgieva and Egyptian Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouli underscored progress in negotiations for a comprehensive policy framework. Madbouli reiterated the government’s commitment to economic reforms, including initiatives to reduce inflation and improve social welfare.

Additionally, Madbouli highlighted Egypt’s regional engagements, particularly its efforts in mediating conflicts and supporting peace initiatives.

Georgieva expressed solidarity with Egypt’s challenges and pledged IMF support for economic reforms and social welfare programs aimed at assisting low-income citizens.

In an interview, Georgieva addressed concerns regarding Egypt’s fragmented exchange rate system, advocating for a unified rate determined by the official market to enhance stability and investor confidence.

As Egypt awaits potential financial support, the nation remains poised for significant economic transformations, guided by IMF endorsement and a commitment to comprehensive reforms.
By: Montel Kamau
Serrari Financial Analyst
13th February, 2024

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