In a significant move towards stability in U.S.-China relations, President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping met on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation conference in San Francisco. The meeting, the first in approximately a year, conveyed a clear message of recalibration in the economic ties between the two global powerhouses.
For U.S. businesses, the summit provided much-needed clarity, alleviating uncertainty in their engagements with China. Jake Colvin, president of the National Foreign Trade Council, expressed optimism that the positive tone set during the meeting could lead to a “new normal” in the economic relationship. Anticipating a potential easing of tariffs and retaliations, Colvin emphasized the importance of China adhering to established rules.
During discussions, President Biden maintained firmness on export controls, but the White House readout emphasized a shared commitment to addressing the risks associated with advanced AI systems. Additionally, both leaders agreed to reinstate military-to-military talks, signaling a renewed communication channel that had been inactive for over a year.
Gabriel Wildau, managing director at Teneo, underscored the significance of the meeting for the business community. He noted that the meeting signaled that full decoupling is no longer on the table, and investment in China remains permissible, particularly in non-sensitive industries. Wildau highlighted that both leaders aim to avoid a negative spiral, opting for cooperation where their interests align.
Despite the Biden administration’s efforts to restrict U.S. investment in Chinese companies involved in advanced tech for military purposes, the broader scope of trade and consumer-related business appears largely unaffected. As the dust settles from this pivotal meeting, U.S. businesses cautiously anticipate a more stable and mutually beneficial economic relationship with China. The outcomes of the meeting suggest a strategic shift towards cooperation, echoing not only in corporate boardrooms but also on the global economic stage.
Photo (Doug Mills, AP)
By: Montel Kamau
Serrari Financial Analyst
22nd November, 2023
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