Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell addressed the Economic Club of Washington D.C. on Monday, showing a proactive stance on interest rates given the changing economic landscape. Powell emphasized that the Fed wouldn’t wait for inflation to hit 2% before considering rate cuts, explaining the complexities involved in monetary policy.
Powell highlighted the idea of “long and variable lags,” pointing out that delaying rate adjustments until inflation hits the target could lead to unintended consequences. Instead, he stressed the importance of gaining “greater confidence” in inflation returning to the 2% goal.
Recent positive inflation data has boosted this confidence. However, Powell didn’t hint at an immediate rate cut, indicating the Fed’s cautious approach. He downplayed concerns about a major economic downturn, suggesting a “hard landing” is unlikely despite recent economic signals.
The Fed’s next policy meeting is set for late July, with the current federal funds rate at 5.25% to 5.50%, giving ample room for potential adjustments compared to levels during the Covid-19 pandemic.
Powell’s remarks also touched on the broader economic impact of rate changes, including their effect on mortgage rates. He lightened the discussion with anecdotes, like humorous encounters urging rate cuts.
In essence, Powell’s comments reflect the Fed’s readiness to act decisively based on upcoming economic data, maintaining a balanced approach to monetary policy amid ongoing economic uncertainties.
photo source: Google
By: Montel Kamau
Serrari Financial Analyst
16th July, 2024
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