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Turkish Inflation Edges Up to 68.5% 

Inflation in Turkey continued its upward trend, with the latest data from the country’s statistics agency, TUIK, revealing a rise to 68.5 percent year-on-year in March. This increase coincided with a notable setback for President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s party in the recent municipal elections, attributed by many to the escalating cost of living.

March saw significant price hikes across various sectors, including education, health, transport, and food, surpassing February’s inflation rate of 67.07 percent. However, an independent group of economists, ENAG, painted a bleak picture, estimating the year-on-year inflation rate to be nearly 125 percent.

Finance Minister Mehmet Simsek highlighted a positive aspect of the data, noting a slowdown in month-on-month inflation to 3.16 percent, down from February’s 4.53 percent. Simsek attributed this moderation to government measures aligned with forecasts and a return to orthodox central bank policy, characterized by a substantial hike in the headline interest rate to 50 percent.

In response to the inflationary pressures, the government pledged to tighten spending to curb economic activity and price growth. Minister Simsek underscored the commitment to anchoring inflation expectations and bolstering the disinflation process, emphasizing the priority of achieving price stability.

The economic environment in Turkey remains challenging, with policymakers navigating through political and economic uncertainties while striving to regain control over inflationary pressures.

photo source: Google

By: Montel Kamau

Serrari Financial Analyst

4th April, 2024

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