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Tunis, Tunisia – Tunisia’s efforts to secure a long-awaited $1.9 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) loan are currently on hold, as the nation is yet to submit new proposals for the loan’s terms. Speaking at a recent news briefing during the IMF-World Bank annual meetings in Morocco, Jihad Azour, the IMF’s Middle East and Central Asia director, emphasized the critical need for Tunisia to reform its subsidy system before the IMF board can greenlight a preliminary staff-level agreement.

Azour’s primary concern revolves around Tunisia’s subsidies, which he characterizes as wasteful and favoring the affluent segment of the population. He singled out fuel subsidies as an example, noting that they primarily benefit the well-off and are especially problematic as oil prices continue to rise.

“Reforming these subsidies,” Azour emphasized, “would redirect resources towards inclusive policies, ultimately promoting social stability.”

Tunisia’s quest for the IMF loan has been met with a prolonged waiting period, spanning over a year. Azour disclosed that a new IMF mission is scheduled to visit Tunisia shortly. The mission’s objective is to engage with local authorities and assess the recent economic developments within the country. However, the specific timing for this mission remains undisclosed.

Securing the IMF loan is of paramount importance to Tunisia’s economic recovery. Yet, the IMF’s condition for reforming the subsidy system as a prerequisite adds a layer of complexity to the proceedings. In the backdrop of escalating oil prices, Tunisia’s government must weigh the urgency of subsidy reforms against the pressing need for IMF financial support.

With all eyes on Tunisia, the nation’s authorities face a pivotal decision-making juncture. Their ongoing negotiations with the IMF hold the potential to reshape the country’s economic trajectory, offering the promise of greater financial equity and enhanced economic stability.

Photo : James Tasamba

By: Montel Kamau
Serrari Financial Analyst
12th October, 2023

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