In a notable development, the interest rate on the widely-used 30-year fixed-rate mortgage in the United States dropped to 6.83% last week, marking its lowest point since June. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s report on December 20 revealed a significant 24 basis points decrease in the average contract rate during the week ending December 15. This reduction comes after the Federal Reserve’s recent announcement signaling the end of raising borrowing costs and hinting at potential rate cuts in the upcoming year.
Since July 28, the 30-year mortgage rate had consistently stayed above 7%, reaching a peak close to 8% in late October—a level not seen in over two decades. The recent shift brings relief to potential homebuyers and refinancers, opening up new opportunities in the real estate market.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s declaration of a steady interest rate and the possibility of future rate cuts triggered a decline in the yield on the 10-year Treasury note, subsequently influencing the unexpected drop in the 30-year mortgage rate.
Despite the historical nature of this reduction, market responses have been measured. Refinance and purchase applications showed marginal declines last week, except for a notable 18% surge in Veterans Affairs (VA) refinance applications, according to MBA chief economist Mike Fratantoni.
Analysts are now closely observing the situation, eager to understand how this significant drop in mortgage rates will impact the real estate market. The lowered borrowing costs could potentially rekindle interest in homeownership and stimulate the housing sector. However, the initial response from the market indicates a cautious approach among consumers.
As we approach the end of 2023, attention remains on the Federal Reserve and its continued influence on mortgage rates, shaping the trajectory of the U.S. housing market. Stay tuned for further developments as we navigate these evolving economic dynamics.
By: Montel Kamau
Serrari Financial Analyst
20th December, 2023
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