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TotalEnergies Doubles Down on US LNG Expansion with $2.8 Billion Rio Grande Investment, Strengthening Global Energy Security Amid Soaring Demand

In a major vote of confidence for American energy infrastructure, French multinational TotalEnergies has committed to a substantial investment in the Rio Grande LNG facility, marking another significant milestone in the rapidly evolving global liquefied natural gas market. The company’s Final Investment Decision (FID) for Train 4 represents more than just another infrastructure project—it signals a strategic pivot toward securing long-term energy supply chains in an increasingly volatile geopolitical environment.

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Strategic Investment Details

TotalEnergies has inked agreements with NextDecade Corporation to acquire a 10% direct stake in the joint venture developing Train 4 of the Rio Grande LNG (RGLNG) facility, strategically positioned in South Texas. Beyond this direct investment, the French energy major will hold an additional indirect stake of approximately 7% through its existing 17.1% shareholding in NextDecade, bringing its total exposure in Train 4 to around 17%.

The Final Investment Decision, reached in collaboration with NextDecade (holding 40%) and prominent partners including Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP, 36.9%), Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund GIC (7.9%), and UAE’s Mubadala (5.2%), green-lights the development of the fourth liquefaction train with an estimated project cost exceeding $7 billion. The financing structure, comprising approximately 40% equity and 60% debt, reflects the industry’s confidence in long-term LNG demand fundamentals.

Expanding US LNG Footprint

This fourth train, boasting a substantial capacity of approximately 6 million tons per annum (Mtpa), will elevate the Rio Grande facility’s total capacity to an impressive 24 Mtpa upon commissioning in 2030. For context, this expansion positions Rio Grande LNG among the largest LNG export facilities globally, competing directly with established players like Cheniere Energy’s Sabine Pass and Cameron LNG terminals.

“We are very pleased with the FID of RGLNG Train 4. This project from which we will offtake 1.5 Mtpa strengthens our LNG export capacity from the United States,” commented Stéphane Michel, President of Gas, Renewables & Power at TotalEnergies. “It gives TotalEnergies access to competitive LNG thanks to its low production costs.”

The significance of this investment becomes clearer when examining TotalEnergies’ broader US LNG strategy. The company’s involvement in Train 4 will boost its American LNG export capacity to over 16 Mtpa by 2030, substantially enhancing its ability to serve global markets while maintaining its impressive 10% worldwide market share.

Market Context and Competitive Landscape

The global LNG market has experienced unprecedented growth, with demand projected to increase by 3-4% annually through 2030. This surge is driven primarily by Asia-Pacific markets, where countries like China and India are transitioning from coal to cleaner-burning natural gas for power generation and industrial applications.

TotalEnergies’ strategic positioning comes at a critical juncture. The company currently ranks as the world’s third-largest LNG player, managing a global portfolio of 40 million tons annually in 2024. This places it behind industry leaders Shell and Qatar Energy but ahead of major competitors like Chevron and BP in terms of LNG trading volumes and integrated operations.

The Rio Grande project’s competitive advantages are particularly noteworthy. Located in South Texas, the facility benefits from direct access to the prolific Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale formations, ensuring abundant, low-cost feedstock supply. Additionally, the facility’s proximity to major shipping channels provides efficient access to both Atlantic and Pacific markets, a crucial factor in today’s geographically diverse LNG trade.

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NextDecade Partnership Strengthens

Matt Schatzman, NextDecade’s Chairman and CEO, emphasized the strategic value of deepening the partnership with TotalEnergies: “We are pleased to have TotalEnergies, our largest LNG customer and equity partner for Phase 1 of Rio Grande LNG, extend their commitment to our project through Train 4. LNG exported by TotalEnergies from our project will provide affordable, reliable, and secure energy to customers around the world.”

This relationship extends beyond mere commercial arrangements. TotalEnergies previously secured a comprehensive Sales and Purchase Agreement (SPA) with NextDecade for a 20-year offtake commitment of 1.5 Mtpa from Train 4, demonstrating long-term confidence in both the project’s viability and NextDecade’s operational capabilities.

The French energy giant’s existing involvement in Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 further underscores this commitment. TotalEnergies holds a 16.7% interest in the initial phase, which encompasses three liquefaction trains currently under construction, with commercial operations expected to commence in 2027. From Phase 1 alone, TotalEnergies will offtake 5.4 Mtpa, establishing Rio Grande as a cornerstone of its North American supply portfolio.

Global Energy Transition Implications

The investment aligns seamlessly with TotalEnergies’ broader energy transition strategy. The company has articulated ambitious plans to increase natural gas’s share in its sales mix to approximately 50% by 2030, positioning gas as a crucial bridge fuel in the global transition away from higher-carbon energy sources.

This strategic emphasis on natural gas reflects broader industry recognition of LNG’s role in reducing global carbon emissions, particularly in regions currently dependent on coal for power generation. Studies indicate that switching from coal to natural gas for electricity generation can reduce CO2 emissions by approximately 50%, making LNG a vital component of near-term decarbonization efforts.

TotalEnergies has committed to reducing carbon emissions across its operations while working to eliminate methane emissions associated with the entire gas value chain. The company’s partnership with NextDecade includes provisions for implementing advanced methane detection and reduction technologies at the Rio Grande facility, setting new industry standards for environmental performance.

Infrastructure and Logistics Advantages

The Rio Grande LNG facility’s strategic location offers significant logistical advantages that enhance its competitive positioning. Situated along the Port of Brownsville ship channel, the facility provides direct access to deep-water shipping lanes capable of accommodating the latest generation of ultra-large LNG carriers.

This infrastructure advantage becomes increasingly important as LNG shipping costs represent a significant component of delivered LNG prices. The facility’s location enables efficient access to key demand centers in Asia, Europe, and Latin America, with typical voyage times of 15-20 days to major Asian markets and 7-10 days to European destinations.

Financial and Market Outlook

The LNG market’s robust fundamentals continue to attract substantial capital investment despite cyclical pricing volatility. Industry analysts project global LNG demand could reach 700-800 million tons annually by 2040, driven by ongoing coal-to-gas switching in developing economies and the fuel’s role as a backup for renewable energy systems.

TotalEnergies’ integrated approach across the LNG value chain positions it advantageously in this growing market. The company operates interests in liquefaction facilities across multiple geographic regions, maintains access to over 20 Mtpa of regasification capacity in Europe, and operates extensive trading and LNG bunkering operations.

Conclusion

TotalEnergies’ commitment to Rio Grande LNG Train 4 represents more than a strategic investment—it exemplifies the evolving dynamics of global energy security and the increasing importance of diversified supply chains. As the world navigates the complex transition toward cleaner energy systems, projects like Rio Grande LNG provide essential infrastructure for delivering reliable, lower-carbon energy to markets worldwide.

The project’s 2030 commissioning timeline positions it well to capture anticipated growth in global LNG demand while supporting TotalEnergies’ ambition to maintain and potentially expand its leadership position in the global LNG market. For NextDecade, the continued partnership with TotalEnergies validates its development strategy and provides crucial financial and operational support for one of America’s most ambitious LNG projects.

As global energy markets continue to evolve, strategic partnerships like this one between TotalEnergies and NextDecade will likely become increasingly important in developing the infrastructure necessary to meet growing global energy demand while supporting the transition to cleaner energy sources.

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By: Montel Kamau

Serrari Financial Analyst

12th September, 2025

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