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Ruto’s ambitious “bottom-up” economic strategy included reducing government debt and enacting policies aimed at bolstering the financial prospects of the country’s populace. However, his initial moves upon assuming office, such as the cessation of food and fuel subsidies introduced by his predecessor, Uhuru Kenyatta, drew criticism.

Navigating Tax Turmoil and Social Unrest

June saw the rollout of new taxes under Ruto’s administration, resulting in cost hikes for essentials like fuel, food, and mobile money transfers. Additionally, a contentious levy, intended to fund a housing scheme, was introduced, affecting all taxpayers. However, a surprising about-face occurred recently, with a partial reinstatement of the fuel subsidy. This decision followed rounds of intense anti-government protests and public outrage over the mounting cost of living.

While Kenya contends with these financial hurdles, the convergence of anticipated international oil price increases and the potential depreciation of the shilling present a litmus test for the government’s commitment to reining in fuel costs. 

Despite Kenya’s stature as a dynamic economic force in East Africa, a third of its population remains mired in poverty, and inflation remains stubbornly high at an annual rate of 7.3 percent, as evidenced in the latest figures.

As President Ruto remains unwavering in his stance that these tax adjustments are essential for job creation, bolstering government funds, and ultimately diminishing the nation’s reliance on borrowing, Kenya finds itself grappling with an intensified debt crisis, necessitating resolute efforts to stabilize its economic landscape and uphold the promises it has made to its citizens.

By: Montel Kamau
Serrari Financial Analyst
16th August, 2023

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