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Africa's New £19bn Gas Pipeline to Span 13 Countries, Boosting Energy Exports to Europe

As Africa seeks to capitalize on its vast fossil fuel resources, a groundbreaking £19 billion gas pipeline project is underway to extend 4,350 miles from Nigeria to Morocco, traversing 13 countries along the Atlantic coast. This ambitious project reflects the continent’s growing focus on expanding its energy infrastructure to harness untapped resources and stimulate economic growth across several regions.

Background and Significance of the Pipeline

The Nigeria-Morocco Gas Pipeline (NMGP) project is part of Africa’s broader strategy to bolster its energy independence and enhance its economic prospects through regional integration. By connecting Nigeria’s gas reserves with North Africa and potentially linking to Europe, this pipeline stands as one of the longest in the world and one of the continent’s largest energy infrastructure investments. Upon completion, it will carry an estimated 10 billion cubic meters of gas per year, strengthening energy security and supporting industrialization across the countries it traverses.

The idea for the NMGP project emerged in 2016 when Morocco and Nigeria signed an agreement to promote energy cooperation. In June 2023, the project received a significant boost when the Islamic Development Bank (IsDB) provided financing for a feasibility study. However, substantial investments from global stakeholders, particularly in Europe, will be crucial to realizing the project’s full potential.

Nigeria’s Gas Reserves and Current Export Challenges

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Nigeria holds the ninth-largest proven gas reserves globally, with an estimated 206 trillion cubic feet of natural gas. Despite this, much of Nigeria’s gas remains unutilized due to a lack of infrastructure. Nigeria currently exports natural gas through the Bonny Island liquefied natural gas (LNG) plant, which processes over 22 million metric tons of LNG annually. Additionally, the West African Gas Pipeline, operated by Chevron, transports gas from Nigeria to neighboring countries like Ghana, Togo, and Benin. However, a significant amount of gas is still flared — that is, burned off during crude oil extraction — leading to economic and environmental losses.

The NMGP project aims to address these challenges by providing Nigeria with a direct route to North African and European markets. For Nigeria, this represents a dual opportunity: reducing gas flaring while opening new avenues for export revenue, which could drive economic growth and job creation.

Strategic and Economic Implications for Africa

Africa holds approximately 8% of the world’s gas supplies and 12% of its oil reserves. However, the lack of infrastructure and political instability have long hindered the continent’s ability to fully exploit these resources. The NMGP pipeline aims to change this by integrating African markets and positioning the continent as a significant player in the global energy landscape. This development is crucial as Europe seeks alternative energy sources to reduce its reliance on Russian gas. For African countries, the pipeline could be a cornerstone for sustainable economic development, creating jobs and providing cleaner energy alternatives to local industries and households.

Potential Expansion to Europe

One of the most compelling aspects of the NMGP project is the possibility of extending it to Spain, which would facilitate African gas exports to Europe. This potential expansion aligns with Europe’s drive to diversify its energy sources amidst geopolitical tensions and energy security concerns. Currently, European nations are heavily dependent on Russian gas, which has raised alarm, particularly after supply disruptions related to the Ukraine crisis. If the NMGP pipeline reaches Spain, African gas could become an essential component of Europe’s energy portfolio.

Key Players and Financial Backing

To complete the pipeline, Africa will need both financial backing and technical expertise from international stakeholders. The project has drawn interest from global oil giants and institutions, including the Islamic Development Bank (IsDB) and the African Development Bank (AfDB), both of which are keen to support initiatives that enhance energy security and reduce poverty on the continent. Additionally, the Moroccan government has been instrumental in securing the commitment of key stakeholders, leveraging the country’s strategic position as a bridge between Africa and Europe.

Environmental and Social Impact

While the NMGP project promises economic and strategic benefits, it also raises environmental concerns. The construction of a transcontinental pipeline through ecologically sensitive areas could disrupt local ecosystems and wildlife. Additionally, natural gas extraction and transportation have environmental costs, including methane emissions, a potent greenhouse gas. Nevertheless, proponents argue that natural gas, which burns cleaner than coal and oil, could provide a transitional energy source for African nations that are still heavily reliant on biomass and other polluting energy forms.

Moreover, the pipeline could help reduce Nigeria’s gas flaring, a major source of air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions. The Nigerian government has implemented policies to curb flaring, such as the Gas Flare Commercialisation Programme, which encourages oil companies to harness gas for commercial use rather than waste it. By redirecting flared gas into the NMGP pipeline, Nigeria could reduce its carbon footprint while generating additional revenue.

Boosting Economic Growth in Host Countries

The 13 countries that the pipeline will cross — including Benin, Togo, Ghana, Côte d’Ivoire, Liberia, Sierra Leone, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Gambia, Senegal, and Mauritania — are expected to benefit significantly from the project. Local economies could see a surge in job creation, infrastructure development, and industrial growth, as the availability of natural gas is likely to attract investment and facilitate the establishment of energy-intensive industries. For instance, countries like Ghana and Senegal, which have limited energy resources, could experience lower energy costs, leading to increased competitiveness in regional and global markets.

The pipeline also aligns with the goals of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), which aims to enhance trade and cooperation among African nations. By fostering energy integration and reducing the cost of cross-border trade, the NMGP pipeline could contribute to the AfCFTA’s objective of creating a single African market, which could boost intra-African trade and strengthen the continent’s economic resilience.

Financing and Project Challenges

Despite the immense potential of the NMGP project, several challenges remain. One significant hurdle is securing the required £19 billion in financing, which will likely require a combination of public and private funding from international partners. Additionally, the project must navigate complex regulatory landscapes across 13 countries, each with distinct legal and political frameworks. Political instability and security concerns, particularly in regions prone to insurgencies, may also pose risks to the pipeline’s construction and operation.

Moreover, the pipeline will need to address potential conflicts between host communities and project developers. Experiences from similar projects suggest that local communities often bear the environmental and social costs of large infrastructure projects. Ensuring that local populations benefit from the project — through job creation, local content policies, and fair compensation for land — will be essential to avoiding conflicts and fostering community support.

Future Prospects for Renewable Energy Integration

While the NMGP project represents a significant investment in fossil fuel infrastructure, it also paves the way for integrating renewable energy into Africa’s energy mix. Countries like Morocco are already global leaders in renewable energy, particularly solar power, and have expressed interest in hybrid energy systems that combine natural gas and renewables. The pipeline could serve as a backbone for a more diversified African energy network, enabling the continent to balance its reliance on fossil fuels with the development of renewable energy sources.

Conclusion

The Nigeria-Morocco Gas Pipeline is a transformative project with the potential to reshape Africa’s energy landscape, strengthen economic integration, and provide a lifeline to Europe’s energy security. By unlocking Nigeria’s vast gas reserves and connecting them to North Africa and beyond, the pipeline could foster economic growth, create jobs, and drive down energy costs across the continent. However, to fully realize these benefits, African leaders and international partners must address the environmental, social, and financial challenges that accompany such a large-scale project.

In the years ahead, Africa’s role in the global energy market is likely to grow, with the NMGP serving as a catalyst for further investment and innovation in the continent’s energy infrastructure. As Africa continues to develop its energy sector, balancing fossil fuel development with sustainable practices will be crucial to ensuring long-term prosperity and environmental responsibility.

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Photo source: Google

By: Montel Kamau

Serrari Financial Analyst

28th October, 2024

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